We are just weeks away from March Madness so I figured I’d give an outlook on who’s in and out as well is who’s on top as the season winds down. As well as what they need to get into the dance. Numbers next to teams are their projected seed.
Locks:
Spots Up For Grab:
Should Be In:
Need Some Work:
[B] ACC
Locks: FSU (3), Virginia (5), Clemson (6), Virginia Tech (8)
Should Be In:
[u] UNC (10)
- Win one more game, @Syracuse (46%), vs Duke (56%)
[U] Louisville (10)
- Win one more game, @Virginia Tech (36%), vs Virginia (40%), ACC Tourney Game
[U] Georgia Tech
- Beat Wake Forest (81%), win one of vs Duke (64%) or ACC Tourney Game
Need Some Work:
[U] Duke
- Win @GTech (36%) and @UNC (44%), plus one ACC tourney game. Or one of those first two games and 2 ACC tourney games.
[B] Big Ten
Locks: Michigan (1), Ohio State (1), Illinois (2), Iowa (3), Wisconsin (5), Purdue (6)
Should Be In
[U] Rutgers (8)
- Beat one of Nebraska (69% odds), Minnesota (49%), or game one of the Big Ten Tourney.
[U] Maryland (9)
- Win 2 of the next four games, vs MSU (68%), @Northwestern (57%), vs Penn St (66%), Big Ten Tourney Game
Need Some Work
[U] Indiana
- Win three more games, @MSU (44%), @Purdue (28%), Big Ten Tourney, at least one win.
[U] Michigan St (12)
- Win 2 games if they win against Michigan (9 and 19%) or B10 ten tourney games. Or win 3 games, other games being against Maryland (32%), Indiana (56%).
[B] Big-12
Locks: Baylor (1), WVU (2), Texas (4), Oklahoma (4), Kansas (3), Texas Tech (6), Oklahoma St (6)
[B] Big East
Locks: Villanova (2), Creighton (4),
Should Be In
[u] UConn (11)
- Beat Georgetown (77%), then win 1 of @Seton Hall (49%), or BE Tourney game
[U] Xavier (11)
- Win 2 of @Gtown (48%), @Marquette (47%), BE Tourney Game
Needs Some Work
[U] Seton Hall
- Win 3 more games, vs UConn (51%), @St.Johns (49%) and BE tourney remain
[U] Providence
- Win 3 more games @ST.Joohns (44%), vs Villanova (40%) and BE Tourney remain
[U] Saint John’s
- Vs Providence (56%), vs Seton Hall (51%) and BE tourney remain
[B] Pac-12
Locks: USC (5), Colorado (7), UCLA (9),
Should Be In:
[U] Oregon (9)
- Win one more game, vs Arizona (50%), vs UCLA (56%), @Oregon St (56%), P12 tourney remain
Needs Some Help
[U] Stanford
- Beat USC (25%), and two Pac-12 tourney games, or win 3 Pac-12 tourney games if they lose to USC.
[B] SEC
Locks: Alabama (2), Arkansas (4), Tennessee (5), Missouri (7), Florida (7)
Should Be In
[U] LSU (9)
- Win one more game, vs Vanderbilt (79%), @Missouri (41%), SEC Tourney game
Needs Some Help
[U] Ole Miss
- Must beat Vandy (74%) and Kentucky (55%), then at least one but possibly two sec tourney games.
[B] Mid-Majors
Locks: Gonzaga (1), Houston (3), BYU (7), San Diego St (8)
Should Be In
[U] Loyola Chicago (8)
- Win 1 game in MVC tourney
Boise St (11)
- Must beat Fresno St (89%), then first MWC tourney game
St. Bonaventure (10)
- Win 2 more games, vs Dayton (79%), A-10 tourney
Colorado St (12)
- Must beat Air Force (95%), New Mexico (94%), and g1 of MWC tourney. Must beat one of Nevada (47%) or g2 of MWC tourney.
VCU (10)
- Must win at least 1 preferably 2 A10 tourney games
Might Need Help
SMU
- Must win next three games , @Cinci (65%), vs Tulsa (84%), AAC tourney game, likely have to win a second AAC tourney game
Memphis
- Must beat USF (79%), has to win @Houston (16%) and AAC and at least one AAC tourney game
Utah St
- Win next four games, vs Nevada (81%), vs Wyoming (92%), @Fresno St (85%), MWC tourney game, preferably win 2 MWC tourney games
Drake (11)
- Make MVC final
Saint Louis
- Must beat UMass (75%), win 2 A-10 tourney games
Richmond
- Must beat St. Joes (91%), win 2 A-10 tourney games
On The Hardwood 